fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts

Staff writer at The Atlantic Elaine Godfrey and political science professor Danny Hayes discuss the role local news plays in society and what happens when it erodes. The crew looks to the speeches from the past weekend's Conservative Political Action Conference for indications about where the Republican party is headed. Happy holidays! Galen Druke talks to Nicole Hemmer about her new book, "Partisans: The Conservative Revolutionaries Who Remade American Politics in the 1990s.". And lastly, they check-in on the gubernatorial recall efforts in California that are very likely to result in a recall election for Governor Gavin Newsom. This is the final FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast episode of the Trump presidency. . Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. The crew discusses the value of a bipartisan strategy, the motivations behind it and the likelihood of Congress reaching a compromise. PODCAST-19 brings you the latest evidence on the COVID-19 pandemic. But some Republicans are still jockeying for position to be the next leader of the party, the most prominent of which may be Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. The crew discusses the political fallout from the Supreme Courts decision to overturn Roe v. Wade. Why Valentina Shevchenko Is A Huge Favorite And Jon Jones Isn't At UFC 285,A pair of championships are on the line at UFC 285 in Las Vegas Saturday night, and both title bouts offer a study in contrasts. 30, 2021 How The CDC's Blindspots Complicated The Fight Against COVID-19 By Maggie Koerth and Sinduja Srinivasan Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. They also consider why Republican senators' votes on convicting former President Donald Trump broke down the way they did. File Upload. In the wake of the January 6th attack on the Capitol, academics and journalists have increasingly taken the possibility of future political violence in America seriously. The crew talks about the most notable data points and what it means for Democratic and Republican strategies going forward. They also look ahead to how the Department of Justice will navigate the complexities of deciding whether to bring charges against Trump and how a Republican majority in the House could respond. The crew discusses which states will determine the balance of both chambers and what theyve learned from this election so far. Galen Druke is the host and producer of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast. The crew discusses what's in the "Freedom to Vote: John R. Lewis Act" and why Senate Democrats have taken it up despite unmoving opposition. They also analyze the court's other recent rulings on gun restrictions and school prayer and preview some of Tuesday's biggest primary elections. The crew asks whether comparisons to former President Donald Trump's own classified document scandal are apt. Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection Don't Look Great. The Negro League Stars That MLB Kept Out And Is Finally Recognizing. 2,. Subscribe and listen Also available wherever you listen to podcasts Google Stitcher iHeartRadio Castbox TuneIn January 23, 2023 Examined What comes next after Texas school shooting? Earlier this month, the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change (IPCC) released the first part of its Sixth Assessment Report on the state of climate change globally. 04:58 PM. As Congress considers legislation that would decriminalize marijuana and end the sentencing disparity for crack and cocaine offenses, Galen Druke speaks with FiveThirtyEight contributor Lester Black about what Americans think should be done about drugs and how politicians are responding. Download this theme at theoneamradio.bandcamp.com/track/whatspoint-theme. They also break down the governor's race in New Jersey and other elections around the country. The Sporkful production team includes Dan Pashman, Emma Morgenstern, Andres O'Hara, Tracey Samuelson, and Jared O'Connell. The first half of this episode originally aired on November 5, 2018, and was produced by Dan Pashman, Anne Saini, and Aviva DeKornfeld, with editing by Gianna Palmer and mixing by Dan Dzula. 00:14:18 - Federal health agencies asked states to pause in their use of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine while U.S. officials investigate reports of an extre Tyler's intense research leads to stimulating and surprising . Galen Druke speaks with the director of the Harvard study, Robert Waldinger, about the lessons his findings have for politics in America. [00:00:19] He is now facing a primary from Congressman Jody Hice, whom Trump has endorsed, in his 2022 re-election bid. Tia Mitchell, of the Atlanta Journal Constitution, joins the podcast to discuss what to expect from former President Trump's second impeachment trial. Science reporter Maggie Koerth also joins to talk about shifting attitudes on climate change among Republicans. The U.S. House Districts To Watch In 2022: 10/17/22 The team debates if Americans. In the immediate aftermath of the Jan. 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol, it appeared that Republican leaders might be ready to break ties with then-President Trump once and for all. And they look at the experiences of urban Republicans and rural Democrats in a country increasingly sorted geographically and politically. They also ask whether the Republican Party can coalesce around an alternative to former President Donald Trump and whether President Bidens recent dismissal of the polls is a good or bad use of polling. The crew talks about the threat of a government shutdown and debt default, as well as how likely it is that Democrats get their legislative priorities passed. The crew discusses which indicators are worth watching to get a sense for how the parties will perform in the 2022 elections. The crew analyzes new polling suggesting Americans support enforcing a no-fly zone over Ukraine and banning the purchase of Russian oil even if it increases gas prices. Later, Monica Potts joins to discuss why voters sometimes contradict their partisan beliefs on ballot measures. Above, storm clouds over downtown Laramie, Wyo., on Aug. 13, 2022. You can get between 30 cents to $1.10 for every audio minute, which sums up to $18 - $66 per audio hour. FiveThirtyEight Politics ABC News (US) Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. 10 Wednesday AM Reads. He has also reported audio documentaries at FiveThirtyEight, including the monthslong series "The Gerrymandering Project." His work has been heard on NPR, WNYC, On The Media, CBC, Wisconsin Public Radio and the University of Cambridge's ELECTION podcast. Nevada Democrats introduced a bill on Monday that would change their state's presidential nominating contest from a caucus to a primary and also dislodge New Hampshire from its position as the first primary in the nation. Recent polls have sent some contradictory messages, but the long and short of it is that seven races are now separated by three points or less polling average. With the benefit of hindsight and some time to breathe, Galen Druke reflects on key moments of the 2020 race with the authors of the new book, Lucky: How Joe Biden Barely Won The Presidency. The crew also discusses how Americans are responding to the administrations handling of the end of the war. They also look at how the Democratic Party's effort to rearrange its presidential primary calendar is going, and ask whether a survey of Republican National Committee members was a good or bad use of polling. How FiveThirtyEight Calculates Pollster Ratings. We hear from two people involved in the progressive movement in New York City about their thoughts on whats happening in the race and how progressivism is shaping politics more broadly. Listeners wanted to know what to make of the NYC mayoral race, whether primary races tell us anything about the midterm elections, what voting system is the best, the likelihood of filibuster reform and, of course, whether or not hot dogs can be considered sandwiches. They also ask whether a recent Gallup poll reporting that a record number of Americans are thriving is a good or bad use of polling. They also ask whether the US is in a recession, whether Andrew Yang's third party will succeed and how the DOJ's Jan. 6th investigation is affecting former President Trump. No products in the cart. (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums . I'm Galen Truk. The crew previews Californias primaries, which offer unique insight into the divides within the Democratic Party. This installment of the podcast explores the role that the Black church plays in American politics, through initiatives like "souls to the polls" and beyond. The crew discusses how the other nine Republicans are faring in their bids to win reelection and debate whether CNNs new polling methodology is a good or bad use of polling. They also reflect on how British and American politics changed during the period when "Brexit" and "Trump" dominated the two countries news cycles and consider their lasting impact. They also look at mayoral elections, which are taking place in more than two dozen major cities, and special elections for a handful of vacant House seats. gold rush supreme second chance winners. The crew discusses why Bidens favorability is falling and how much Democrats should worry about it. Hello and welcome to the identity politics podcast I'm deal injury work. Thee also tracks the latest voting restrictions being considered by Georgia Republicans, including a proposal to end early voting on Sundays, which is when Black churches traditionally mobilize voters through "souls to the polls" events. Accuracy is not guaranteed. Cuomo denied the allegations, but has faced overwhelming pressure to resign from fellow Democrats, including President Joe Biden. Nate and Galen open the mailbag and answer listeners' questions about politics, polling and anything else on their minds. In 2018, the operations were transferred from ESPN to sister property ABC News (also under parent The Walt Disney Company ). Americans are spending more and more time alone, and more than a third reported experiencing serious loneliness" in 2021. Then, Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio joins the pod to break down a new poll that asked Latino Americans which party they are favoring in the midterm elections. In 2021, cities around the country are choosing mayors to try to lead them through a long list of challenges, both pre-existing and brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic. Release date: 24 June 2015 Show more They also consider whether abortion as an issue will motivate voters in other elections this fall and look at the primary winners in Arizona, Missouri, Michigan and Washington. The crew asks whether Biden's approval rating could be boosted by the American Rescue Plan and how popular he'd have to be to avoid a backlash at the midterms. My theme song for the "What's the Point" podcast from FiveThirtyEight, a podcast about our data age. The Rules of the Game podcast discusses and compares democratic institutions from around the world. They also talk about how the California recall election is shaping up after a recent poll showed increased support for recalling current Governor Gavin Newsom. He rejected the presidents requests and has consistently spoken out against conspiracy theories surrounding the election. The crew debates whether a poll asking Americans which animals they could take on is a fight is a "good or bad use of polling." And they try to guess what Americans think about love and relationships in a Valentine's Day-themed game. The Deluxe version of our model simulates the election 40,000 times to see which party wins the House most often. In this late-night installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke put their Model Talk hats on and discuss the initial results from the 2022 midterms. The crew discusses how debates on both the debt ceiling and the future of Rep. George Santoss career might unfold. Also, CalMatters Politics reporter Laurel Rosenhall and political analyst Paul Mitchell join to discuss the status of the California gubernatorial recall election. The crew discusses what high gas prices have meant for politics historically and outline the debates in Washington over how to bring those prices down. Ron DeSantis over Trump for the 2024 GOP presidential primary. Posted by October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts They also discuss moderate Senate Democrats' push to amend some of the provisions in the American Rescue plan and look at the politics and science behind the push to loosen covid-19 restrictions in states. Galen Druke discusses that question with pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson and writers Ramesh Ponnuru and Henry Olsen, who have all spent their careers in Republican politics and conservative thought. The crew discusses how the Supreme Court may change once Breyer a more moderate Justice among the Liberals retires. MAJORITY 255 REP SEATS 240 225 225 240 255 DEM SEATS 84 in 100 84 in 100 Republicans win Republicans win 16 in 100 16 in 100 . Overall, more moderate candidates were able to win against challengers from the Right and Left flank of both parties, although there was a sizable protest vote in some instances. OPEC+ announced its cutting oil production by 2 million barrels a day, President Biden is talking about the threat of nuclear Armageddon and shoes keep dropping in the Georgia Senate race. Since January 2021, eleven states have enacted laws that limit how teachers can talk about race and racism in schools and close to 200 bills have been introduced in 40 states. Atlantic writer Emma Green joins to talk about her recent article, "The Liberals Who Can't Quit Lockdown.". Tensions between the U.S. and China have grown in recent years and, in this installment, the crew looks at changing public opinion of China and how it could shape American politics. They also continue to track the types of candidates former President Trump has endorsed in the 2022 Republican primaries. The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in New Jersey and Virginian and looks at the debate playing out between the two parties over how much wealthy Americans and corporations should be paying in taxes. Over the weekend, the White House announced that five more classified documents from the Obama administration were found at President Biden's Delaware home. They also discuss recent polling showing that President Biden has disproportionately lost support among traditionally Democratic voting groups. The crew debates whether a recent Gallup poll showing that more Americans identify with the GOP than the Democratic Party is a "good or bad use of polling." Senior writer and legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discusses how the Justices approached the question and what Americans think about abortion policy. They also take a look at whether the Republican Party is conducting a post-mortem after its recent electoral losses. So, the usual. Tester faces a tough bid, but don't sleep on Brown being the weaker of the two. As of Monday, all U.S. troops have withdrawn from Afghanistan following a chaotic evacuation from the country. Progressive Democrats have struggled to break through in one of the most high-profile elections of the year: the Democratic primary for New York City mayor. 01:06 PM. The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in Georgia, Texas, Alabama, Arkansas and Minnesota. March 1, 2023 6:30am by Barry Ritholtz. Trump Is Setting A Dangerous Precedent For American Democracy 240 views The crew discusses how a bipartisan gun control deal was reached and if this unwritten legislation could be passed by the end of the year. Joining the podcast are Andra Gillespie, political science professor at Emory University, Besheer Mohamed, senior researcher at Pew Research Center, and Stacey Holman, the director of PBSs recent documentary series The Black Church.". The crew debates the value of polling whether Americans want Biden and Trump to run again in 2024. The crew asks why Queen Elizabeth II's passing has received such intense global press coverage. Saturday, February 25, 2023. This is the first episode. With the data from the most recent term in hand, the crew discusses how far to the right the Supreme Court has gone. The website, which takes its name from the number of electors in the United States electoral college, was founded on March 7, 2008, as a polling aggregation website with a blog created by analyst Nate Silver. Maybe its time to get rid of election polls. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses the best way to poll Americans satisfaction with their own lives and the direction of the country. Cardozo Law Professor Kate Shaw discusses that evidence and its legal ramifications. The team debates if Americans really do move to Canada, or to different U.S. states, for political reasons. 3 min read. The crew discusses what the political environment is likely to look like in 2022 based on history and current indicators. The crew discusses how Americans are feeling about COVID-19 and what types of restrictions they do and don't support after almost two years. Samuel Charap is a senior political scientist at the RAND Corporation and author of the book Everyone Loses: The Ukraine Crisis and the Ruinous Contest for Post-Soviet Eurasia. Galen and Nate discuss the reasons for Republicans' improvement in the forecast. Listen at itun.es/i67M5bV. The crew looks at public opinion on the war in Afghanistan and the Biden administration's decision to withdraw U.S. troops as the country now faces a Taliban takeover. The crew puts Georgia's new voting laws in context and discusses the challenges facing the Biden administration on immigration policy in the short and long term. They also consider whether a poll that asks Americans if they think the U.S. is currently in a recession is a "good or bad use of polling.". The crew reacts to the results in Tuesdays primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Kentucky and Oregon. FiveThirtyEight's Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux and Nathaniel Rakich discuss the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Tuesday night's primary elections.Website: http:. The crew discusses how Liz Cheney and Madison Cawthorn's primaries serve as a test of what the Republican Party and its voters will and wont accept. While it appears unlikely that 17 Republicans will join Democrats in voting to convict the former president, the evidence presented could help shape the views of the public regarding what happened at the Capitol on January 6, 2021. They also debate whether the AARP is correct in assessing that women voters over the age of 50 are likely to decide the outcome of the 2022 midterms. The crew checks in on the California recall election and other upcoming races, and talks about how a Trump endorsement is shaping a Wyoming primary. apache saddles amarillo texas shockwave treatment for gallstones in the philippines price They also touch on the health of the polling industry and how much Biden's success in a potential 2024 primary hangs on Democrats' performance at the midterms. The crew discuss the 2021 gubernatorial elections in Virginia and New Jersey and the very likely recall election in California. Rev also gives transcribers the autonomy to work for as much or little as they want. They also try to get to the bottom of whether Americans support the Parental Rights In Education Bill -- or what its critics call the Dont Say Gay Bill -- which Florida Governor Ron DeSantis signed into law last week. No place like 'Nam. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate and Galen discuss a recently published assessment of how our 2022 midterm forecast performed. Galen speaks with reporter Kaleigh Rogers about how candidates who denied the legitimacy of the 2020 election did in the midterms and what the future of election denialism looks like. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? With midterm elections in the rearview mirror, Galen and Nate open up the mail bag to answer lingering questions about the results.